What are Kshama Sawant's chances of winning the 2026 WA-09 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Kshama Sawant a 1% chance (Kalshi 1%).

How much money has Kshama Sawant raised?

Kshama Sawant's campaign has raised $649K and has $31K cash on hand, through July 15, 2026, according to the FEC.

independent · WA

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Kshama Sawant (independent) a 1% chance of winning the 2026 WA-09 House race (Kalshi 1%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 WA-09 House race	1%	1%	—	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through July 15, 2026. $649K from individuals, $0 from PACs. FEC filings for Kshama Sawant →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.