Republican · HI
Adriel Lam
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Adriel Lam (Republican) a 3% chance of winning the 2026 HI-01 House race (Kalshi 3%, Polymarket 4%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 HI-01 House race | 3% | 3% | 4% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Running against
- Ed Case97%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
