Democrat · HI
Ed Case
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Ed Case (Democrat) a 97% chance of winning the 2026 HI-01 House race (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 96%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 HI-01 House race | 97% | 97% | 96% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $1.1M
- Spent
- $811K
- Cash on hand
- $600K
- Outside groups for
- $0
- Outside groups against
- $0
Through July 19, 2026. $571K from individuals, $523K from PACs. FEC filings for Edward Case →
Recent headlines
- Why the Supreme Court Should Shut Down Boulder’s Climate Case National Review · Oct 2
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
