What are Analilia Mejia's chances of winning the 2026 NJ-11 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Analilia Mejia a 96% chance (Kalshi 96%, Polymarket 96%).

How much money has Analilia Mejia raised?

Analilia Mejia's campaign has raised $1.8M and has $27K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · NJ

Analilia Mejia

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Analilia Mejia (Democrat) a 96% chance of winning the 2026 NJ-11 House race (Kalshi 96%, Polymarket 96%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 NJ-11 House race	96%	96%	96%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $1.8M
Spent: $1.8M
Cash on hand: $27K
Outside groups for: $332K
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $1.5M from individuals, $331K from PACs, $7K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Analilia Mejia →

Running against

Joe Hathaway4%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.