Republican · MO
Ann Wagner
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Ann Wagner (Republican) a 73% chance of winning the 2026 MO-02 House race (Polymarket 73%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 MO-02 House race | 73% | — | 73% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $3.5M
- Spent
- $2.4M
- Cash on hand
- $4.2M
- Outside groups for
- $0
- Outside groups against
- $0
Through July 15, 2026. $2.0M from individuals, $1.1M from PACs. FEC filings for Ann L. Wagner →
Polls
In the 2026 MO-02 House race, the Parlay polling average has Ann Wagner at 43% against Fred Wellman at 42%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-09-15).
Social buzz
129K interactions with posts about Ann Wagner in the last 24 hours from 14 people; 20% of posts read as positive, down 10% on last week.
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
- Fred Wellman27%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
