What are Anthony Constantino's chances of winning the 2026 NY-21 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Anthony Constantino a 82% chance (Kalshi 82%, Polymarket 83%).

How much money has Anthony Constantino raised?

Anthony Constantino's campaign has raised $9.5M and has $3.0M cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · NY

Anthony Constantino

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Anthony Constantino (Republican) a 82% chance of winning the 2026 NY-21 House race (Kalshi 82%, Polymarket 83%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 NY-21 House race	82%	82%	83%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $9.5M
Spent: $8.7M
Cash on hand: $3.0M
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $88K

Through June 30, 2026. $0 from individuals, $7K from PACs, $9.4M of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Anthony Thomas Constantino →

Polls

In the 2026 NY-21 House race, the Parlay polling average has Anthony Constantino at 48% against Blake Gendebien at 43%, from 3 polls (newest ended 2026-09-10).

Running against

Blake Gendebien18%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.