What are Ashley Bell's chances of winning the 2026 NC-10 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Ashley Bell a 6% chance (Kalshi 5%, Polymarket 6%).

How much money has Ashley Bell raised?

Ashley Bell's campaign has raised $84K and has $26K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · NC

Ashley Bell

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Ashley Bell (Democrat) a 6% chance of winning the 2026 NC-10 House race (Kalshi 5%, Polymarket 6%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 NC-10 House race	6%	5%	6%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $84K
Spent: $58K
Cash on hand: $26K
Outside groups for: $17K
Outside groups against: $242

Through June 30, 2026. $64K from individuals, $1K from PACs, $15K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Ashley Bell →

Polls

In the 2026 NC-10 House race, the Parlay polling average has Ashley Bell at 37% against Pat Harrigan at 52%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-03-12).

Running against

Pat Harrigan94%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.