What are Pat Harrigan's chances of winning the 2026 NC-10 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Pat Harrigan a 94% chance (Kalshi 95%, Polymarket 94%).

How much money has Pat Harrigan raised?

Pat Harrigan's campaign has raised $1.1M and has $451K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · NC

Pat Harrigan

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Pat Harrigan (Republican) a 94% chance of winning the 2026 NC-10 House race (Kalshi 95%, Polymarket 94%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 NC-10 House race	94%	95%	94%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $1.1M
Spent: $683K
Cash on hand: $451K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $6K

Through June 30, 2026. $619K from individuals, $360K from PACs. FEC filings for Pat Harrigan →

Polls

In the 2026 NC-10 House race, the Parlay polling average has Pat Harrigan at 52% against Ashley Bell at 37%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-03-12).

Running against

Ashley Bell6%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.