Republican · TX

August Pfluger

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give August Pfluger (Republican) a 96% chance of winning the 2026 TX-11 House race (Kalshi 95%, Polymarket 97%).

Odds in every market

MarketChanceKalshiPolymarket24h
2026 TX-11 House race96%95%97%—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised
$3.2M
Spent
$2.6M
Cash on hand
$2.9M
Outside groups for
$0
Outside groups against
$0

Through June 30, 2026. $729K from individuals, $183K from PACs. FEC filings for August Lee Pfluger Ii →

Running against

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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