What are Claire Reynolds's chances of winning the 2026 TX-11 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Claire Reynolds a 4% chance (Kalshi 5%, Polymarket 3%).

How much money has Claire Reynolds raised?

Claire Reynolds's campaign has raised $89K and has $47K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · TX

Claire Reynolds

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Claire Reynolds (Democrat) a 4% chance of winning the 2026 TX-11 House race (Kalshi 5%, Polymarket 3%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 TX-11 House race	4%	5%	3%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $89K
Spent: $42K
Cash on hand: $47K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $84K from individuals, $5K from PACs. FEC filings for Claire Anne Reynolds →

Running against

August Pfluger96%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.