What are Bale Dalton's chances of winning the 2026 FL-07 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Bale Dalton a 33% chance (Kalshi 33%, Polymarket 34%).

How much money has Bale Dalton raised?

Bale Dalton's campaign has raised $1.4M and has $476K cash on hand, through July 29, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · FL

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Bale Dalton (Democrat) a 33% chance of winning the 2026 FL-07 House race (Kalshi 33%, Polymarket 34%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 FL-07 House race	33%	33%	34%	▲ 1¢

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through July 29, 2026. $1.2M from individuals, $181K from PACs. FEC filings for Bale Dalton →

8K interactions with posts about Bale Dalton in the last 24 hours from 6 people; 85% of posts read as positive, up 153% on last week.

Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.