What are Ben McAdams's chances of winning the 2026 UT-01 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Ben McAdams a 96% chance (Kalshi 96%, Polymarket 96%).

How much money has Ben McAdams raised?

Ben McAdams's campaign has raised $2.3M and has $299K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · UT

Ben McAdams

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Ben McAdams (Democrat) a 96% chance of winning the 2026 UT-01 House race (Kalshi 96%, Polymarket 96%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 UT-01 House race	96%	96%	96%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $2.3M
Spent: $2.0M
Cash on hand: $299K
Outside groups for: $2.4M
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $2.0M from individuals, $193K from PACs. FEC filings for Ben McAdams →

Polls

In the 2026 UT-01 House race, the Parlay polling average has Ben McAdams at 63% against Riley Owen at 21%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-09-10).

Running against

Riley Owen4%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.