What are Riley Owen's chances of winning the 2026 UT-01 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Riley Owen a 4% chance (Kalshi 4%, Polymarket 4%).

How much money has Riley Owen raised?

Riley Owen's campaign has raised $133K and has $10K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · UT

Riley Owen

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Riley Owen (Republican) a 4% chance of winning the 2026 UT-01 House race (Kalshi 4%, Polymarket 4%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 UT-01 House race	4%	4%	4%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $133K
Spent: $123K
Cash on hand: $10K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $99K from individuals, $4K from PACs, $30K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Riley Montgomery Owen →

Polls

In the 2026 UT-01 House race, the Parlay polling average has Riley Owen at 21% against Ben McAdams at 63%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-09-10).

Running against

Ben McAdams96%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.