Democrat · NM
Ben Ray Luján
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Ben Ray Luján (Democrat) a 98% chance of winning the 2026 New Mexico Senate race (Kalshi 99%, Polymarket 98%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 New Mexico Senate race | 98% | 99% | 98% | ▲ 1¢ |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Polls
In the 2026 New Mexico Senate race, the Parlay polling average has Ben Ray Luján at 53% against Larry Marker at 38%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-08-28).
Social buzz
626 interactions with posts about Ben Ray Luján in the last 24 hours from 13 people; 10% of posts read as positive, up 328% on last week.
- @Sassafrass_84 This is old, but take a look at the dems who voted against the Laken Riley Act. Bernie Sanders VT, (Ind). Elizabeth Warren (MA) Cory Booker (NJ) Andy Kim (NJ) Ed Markey (MA) Ben Ray Luján (NM) Tina Smi David Schmidt · tweet
- Mark Warner has failed to pay $50 million in taxes Senator Ben Ray Luján is suspected of murdering three prostitutes Janette S. Huerta · tweet
- Ben Ray Luján calls for AI select committee - Punchbowl News Arnaud Mercier - #Entrepreneur #Versailles · tweet
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
