What are Larry E. Marker's chances of winning the 2026 New Mexico Senate race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Larry E. Marker a 2% chance (Kalshi 1%, Polymarket 2%).

How much money has Larry E. Marker raised?

Larry E. Marker's campaign has raised $34K and has $12K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · NM

Larry E. Marker

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Larry E. Marker (Republican) a 2% chance of winning the 2026 New Mexico Senate race (Kalshi 1%, Polymarket 2%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 New Mexico Senate race	2%	1%	2%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $34K
Spent: $22K
Cash on hand: $12K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $29K from individuals, $0 from PACs. FEC filings for Larry E Marker →

Polls

In the 2026 New Mexico Senate race, the Parlay polling average has Larry E. Marker at 38% against Ben Ray Luján at 53%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-08-28).

Running against

Ben Ray Luján98%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.