What are Bert Mizusawa's chances of winning the 2026 Virginia Senate race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Bert Mizusawa a 2% chance (Kalshi 1%, Polymarket 2%).

How much money has Bert Mizusawa raised?

Bert Mizusawa's campaign has raised $419K and has $90K cash on hand, through July 15, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · VA

Bert Mizusawa

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Bert Mizusawa (Republican) a 2% chance of winning the 2026 Virginia Senate race (Kalshi 1%, Polymarket 2%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 Virginia Senate race	2%	1%	2%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $419K
Spent: $329K
Cash on hand: $90K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through July 15, 2026. $222K from individuals, $5K from PACs, $171K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Bert K Mizusawa →

Polls

In the 2026 Virginia Senate race, the Parlay polling average has Bert Mizusawa at 33% against Mark Warner at 51%, from 2 polls (newest ended 2026-06-16).

Running against

Mark Warner98%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.