Republican · TN
Bill Hagerty
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Bill Hagerty (Republican) a 93% chance of winning the 2026 Tennessee Senate race (Kalshi 92%, Polymarket 94%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Tennessee Senate race | 93% | 92% | 94% | ▼ 4¢ |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $7.2M
- Spent
- $3.9M
- Cash on hand
- $5.2M
- Outside groups for
- $1.0M
- Outside groups against
- $0
Through July 17, 2026. $3.8M from individuals, $1.5M from PACs. FEC filings for Bill Hagerty →
Polls
In the 2026 Tennessee Senate race, the Parlay polling average has Bill Hagerty at 51% against Marquita Bradshaw at 31%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-08-26).
Social buzz
99K interactions with posts about Bill Hagerty in the last 24 hours from 45 people; 26% of posts read as positive, down 65% on last week.
- Senator Bill Hagerty files an explosive Tennessee bar complaint seeking Jack Smith's disbarment after the prosecutor concealed crucial facts to secretly subpoena Senate phone records. Robert Gouveia Esq. · tweet
- Can Republicans Beat the Midterm Odds? Sen. Hagerty Weighs In Morning Wire · youtube-video
- Sen. Bill Hagerty filed a formal ethics complaint seeking former special counsel Jack Smith’s disbarment, accusing him of misconduct in obtaining congressional phone records during the Arctic Frost investigation Florida’s Voice · tweet
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
