What are Bill Hill's chances of winning the 2026 AK-AL House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Bill Hill a 12% chance (Kalshi 12%, Polymarket 12%).

How much money has Bill Hill raised?

Bill Hill's campaign has raised $1.3M and has $516K cash on hand, through July 29, 2026, according to the FEC.

independent · AK

Bill Hill

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Bill Hill (independent) a 12% chance of winning the 2026 AK-AL House race (Kalshi 12%, Polymarket 12%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 AK-AL House race	12%	12%	12%	▼ 1¢

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $1.3M
Spent: $820K
Cash on hand: $516K
Outside groups for: $3.7M
Outside groups against: $1.5M

Through July 29, 2026. $1.3M from individuals, $62K from PACs. FEC filings for Bill Hill →

Running against

Jim McDermott1%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.