Republican · UT

Blake Moore

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Blake Moore (Republican) a 95% chance of winning the 2026 UT-02 House race (Kalshi 95%, Polymarket 95%).

Odds in every market

MarketChanceKalshiPolymarket24h
2026 UT-02 House race95%95%95%—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised
$2.5M
Spent
$2.2M
Cash on hand
$1.9M
Outside groups for
$516K
Outside groups against
$487K

Through June 30, 2026. $1000K from individuals, $1.4M from PACs. FEC filings for Blake Moore →

Polls

In the 2026 UT-02 House race, the Parlay polling average has Blake Moore at 37% against Peter Crosby at 34%, from 2 polls (newest ended 2026-09-24).

Social buzz

25K interactions with posts about Blake Moore in the last 24 hours from 35 people; 55% of posts read as positive, up 150% on last week.

Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.

Running against

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

Data partnerLunarCrushThe Pulse, our social buzz and sentiment data, is powered by LunarCrush. How it works