What are Peter Crosby's chances of winning the 2026 UT-02 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Peter Crosby a 5% chance (Kalshi 5%, Polymarket 5%).

How much money has Peter Crosby raised?

Peter Crosby's campaign has raised $60K and has $23K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · UT

Peter Crosby

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Peter Crosby (Democrat) a 5% chance of winning the 2026 UT-02 House race (Kalshi 5%, Polymarket 5%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 UT-02 House race	5%	5%	5%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $60K
Spent: $32K
Cash on hand: $23K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $60K from individuals, $0 from PACs. FEC filings for Peter Crosby →

Polls

In the 2026 UT-02 House race, the Parlay polling average has Peter Crosby at 34% against Blake Moore at 37%, from 2 polls (newest ended 2026-09-24).

Running against

Blake Moore95%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.