What are Bob Harvie's chances of winning the 2026 PA-01 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Bob Harvie a 35% chance (Kalshi 37%, Polymarket 34%).

How much money has Bob Harvie raised?

Bob Harvie's campaign has raised $2.0M and has $795K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · PA

Bob Harvie

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Bob Harvie (Democrat) a 35% chance of winning the 2026 PA-01 House race (Kalshi 37%, Polymarket 34%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 PA-01 House race	35%	37%	34%	▲ 1¢

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $2.0M
Spent: $1.2M
Cash on hand: $795K
Outside groups for: $56K
Outside groups against: $836K

Through June 30, 2026. $1.7M from individuals, $189K from PACs. FEC filings for Robert J Harvie →

Polls

In the 2026 PA-01 House race, the Parlay polling average has Bob Harvie at 43% against Brian Fitzpatrick at 50%, from 3 polls (newest ended 2026-09-14).

Social buzz

92K interactions with posts about Bob Harvie in the last 24 hours from 33 people; 54% of posts read as positive, up 219% on last week.

Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.

Running against

Brian Fitzpatrick65%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.