What are Bobby Pulido's chances of winning the 2026 TX-15 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Bobby Pulido a 81% chance (Kalshi 82%, Polymarket 80%).

How much money has Bobby Pulido raised?

Bobby Pulido's campaign has raised $3.0M and has $1.2M cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · TX

Bobby Pulido

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Bobby Pulido (Democrat) a 81% chance of winning the 2026 TX-15 House race (Kalshi 82%, Polymarket 80%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 TX-15 House race	81%	82%	80%	▲ 2¢

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $3.0M
Spent: $1.8M
Cash on hand: $1.2M
Outside groups for: $1.4M
Outside groups against: $2.6M

Through June 30, 2026. $2.4M from individuals, $244K from PACs, $150K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Bobby Pulido →

Polls

In the 2026 TX-15 House race, the Parlay polling average has Bobby Pulido at 53% against Monica De La Cruz at 42%, from 2 polls (newest ended 2026-09-28).

Running against

Monica De La Cruz19%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.