Republican · TX
Monica De La Cruz
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Monica De La Cruz (Republican) a 19% chance of winning the 2026 TX-15 House race (Kalshi 19%, Polymarket 20%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 TX-15 House race | 19% | 19% | 20% | ▼ 1¢ |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $5.3M
- Spent
- $3.4M
- Cash on hand
- $2.5M
- Outside groups for
- $138K
- Outside groups against
- $2.4M
Through June 30, 2026. $3.3M from individuals, $705K from PACs. FEC filings for Monica De La Cruz →
Polls
In the 2026 TX-15 House race, the Parlay polling average has Monica De La Cruz at 42% against Bobby Pulido at 53%, from 2 polls (newest ended 2026-09-28).
Recent headlines
- Cruz-Vance rivalry heats up as Texas senator suggests VP is 'feeling insecure' Fox News · Oct 4
- Ted Cruz fires back at ‘insecure’ JD Vance as the two trade barbs over 2028 New York Post · Oct 4
Running against
- Bobby Pulido81%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
