Republican · MN
Brad Finstad
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Brad Finstad (Republican) a 77% chance of winning the 2026 MN-01 House race (Kalshi 76%, Polymarket 77%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 MN-01 House race | 77% | 76% | 77% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $2.0M
- Spent
- $808K
- Cash on hand
- $1.3M
- Outside groups for
- $42K
- Outside groups against
- $1.7M
Through July 22, 2026. $829K from individuals, $966K from PACs. FEC filings for Brad Finstad →
Polls
In the 2026 MN-01 House race, the Parlay polling average has Brad Finstad at 46% against Jake Johnson at 47%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-09-21).
Social buzz
36K interactions with posts about Brad Finstad in the last 24 hours from 10 people; 58% of posts read as positive, down 77% on last week.
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
- Jake Johnson23%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
