Democrat · MN
Jake Johnson
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Jake Johnson (Democrat) a 23% chance of winning the 2026 MN-01 House race (Kalshi 24%, Polymarket 23%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 MN-01 House race | 23% | 24% | 23% | ▲ 2¢ |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $2.0M
- Spent
- $989K
- Cash on hand
- $1.0M
- Outside groups for
- $58K
- Outside groups against
- $8K
Through July 22, 2026. $1.9M from individuals, $104K from PACs, $5K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Jacob Johnson →
Polls
In the 2026 MN-01 House race, the Parlay polling average has Jake Johnson at 47% against Brad Finstad at 46%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-09-21).
Social buzz
326K interactions with posts about Jake Johnson in the last 24 hours from 51 people; 70% of posts read as positive, up 106% on last week.
- Jermaine Johnson trips him up for the sack 😤 TENvsBAL on CBS/Paramount+ Stream on @NFLPlus NFL · tweet
- Here is the play Ravens QB Lamar Jackson injured his ankle His ankle gets caught underneath Titans pass rusher Jermaine Johnson Kevin Oestreicher · tweet
- Jermaine Johnson sacks Lamar Jackson right before the half. 🍢🔥💯 TJ Salomone · tweet
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
- Brad Finstad77%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
