Democrat · CA

Brad Sherman

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Brad Sherman (Democrat) a 97% chance of winning the 2026 CA-32 House race (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 98%).

Odds in every market

MarketChanceKalshiPolymarket24h
2026 CA-32 House race97%97%98%—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised
$2.5M
Spent
$3.8M
Cash on hand
$2.7M
Outside groups for
$974K
Outside groups against
$0

Through June 30, 2026. $1.4M from individuals, $703K from PACs. FEC filings for Brad Sherman →

Running against

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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