What are Larry Thompson's chances of winning the 2026 CA-32 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Larry Thompson a 3% chance (Kalshi 3%, Polymarket 2%).

How much money has Larry Thompson raised?

Larry Thompson's campaign has raised $34K and has $2K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · CA

Larry Thompson

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Larry Thompson (Republican) a 3% chance of winning the 2026 CA-32 House race (Kalshi 3%, Polymarket 2%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 CA-32 House race	3%	3%	2%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $34K
Spent: $32K
Cash on hand: $2K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $7K from individuals, $0 from PACs, $27K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Larry Thompson →

Running against

Brad Sherman97%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.