What are Brad Smith's chances of winning the 2026 WI-06 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Brad Smith a 6% chance (Kalshi 6%, Polymarket 6%).

How much money has Brad Smith raised?

Brad Smith's campaign has raised $166K and has $60K cash on hand, through July 22, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · WI

Brad Smith

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Brad Smith (Democrat) a 6% chance of winning the 2026 WI-06 House race (Kalshi 6%, Polymarket 6%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 WI-06 House race	6%	6%	6%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $166K
Spent: $106K
Cash on hand: $60K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through July 22, 2026. $153K from individuals, $1K from PACs, $11K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Bradley Smith →

Polls

In the 2026 WI-06 House race, the Parlay polling average has Brad Smith at 39% against Glenn Grothman at 61%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-05-28).

Recent headlines

Scary That Democrats Still Support Jack Smith Operation RealClearPolitics · Oct 4

Running against

Glenn Grothman94%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.