What are Glenn Grothman's chances of winning the 2026 WI-06 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Glenn Grothman a 94% chance (Kalshi 94%, Polymarket 94%).

How much money has Glenn Grothman raised?

Glenn Grothman's campaign has raised $929K and has $830K cash on hand, through July 22, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · WI

Glenn Grothman

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Glenn Grothman (Republican) a 94% chance of winning the 2026 WI-06 House race (Kalshi 94%, Polymarket 94%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 WI-06 House race	94%	94%	94%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $929K
Spent: $622K
Cash on hand: $830K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through July 22, 2026. $651K from individuals, $278K from PACs. FEC filings for Glenn S. Grothman →

Polls

In the 2026 WI-06 House race, the Parlay polling average has Glenn Grothman at 61% against Brad Smith at 39%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-05-28).

Running against

Brad Smith6%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.