Republican · TX
Brandon Herrera
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Brandon Herrera (Republican) a 62% chance of winning the 2026 TX-23 House race (Kalshi 62%, Polymarket 62%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 TX-23 House race | 62% | 62% | 62% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $1.9M
- Spent
- $1.6M
- Cash on hand
- $309K
- Outside groups for
- $792K
- Outside groups against
- $416K
Through June 30, 2026. $85K from individuals, $63K from PACs, $420K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Brandon Herrera →
Polls
In the 2026 TX-23 House race, the Parlay polling average has Brandon Herrera at 42% against Katy Padilla Stout at 40%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-03-11).
Social buzz
680K interactions with posts about Brandon Herrera in the last 24 hours from 133 people; 51% of posts read as positive, down 49% on last week.
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
