Democrat · TX
Katy Padilla Stout
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Katy Padilla Stout (Democrat) a 38% chance of winning the 2026 TX-23 House race (Kalshi 38%, Polymarket 38%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 TX-23 House race | 38% | 38% | 38% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $485K
- Spent
- $314K
- Cash on hand
- $171K
- Outside groups for
- $103K
- Outside groups against
- $373K
Through June 30, 2026. $440K from individuals, $23K from PACs, $10K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Katy Padilla Stout →
Polls
In the 2026 TX-23 House race, the Parlay polling average has Katy Padilla Stout at 40% against Brandon Herrera at 42%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-03-11).
Social buzz
112K interactions with posts about Katy Padilla Stout in the last 24 hours from 20 people; 80% of posts read as positive, up 64% on last week.
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
