What are Brenton Awa's chances of winning the 2026 HI-02 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Brenton Awa a 4% chance (Kalshi 4%, Polymarket 4%).

How much money has Brenton Awa raised?

Brenton Awa's campaign has raised $123K and has $16K cash on hand, through July 19, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · HI

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Brenton Awa (Republican) a 4% chance of winning the 2026 HI-02 House race (Kalshi 4%, Polymarket 4%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 HI-02 House race	4%	4%	4%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through July 19, 2026. $103K from individuals, $1K from PACs. FEC filings for Brenton Awa →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.