Republican · NY
Caroline Shinkle
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Caroline Shinkle (Republican) a 1% chance of winning the 2026 NY-12 House race (Kalshi 2%, Polymarket 0%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 NY-12 House race | 1% | 2% | 0% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Running against
- Micah Lasher99%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
