What are Christina Bohannan's chances of winning the 2026 IA-01 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Christina Bohannan a 84% chance (Kalshi 82%, Polymarket 85%).

How much money has Christina Bohannan raised?

Christina Bohannan's campaign has raised $7.1M and has $5.4M cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · IA

Christina Bohannan

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Christina Bohannan (Democrat) a 84% chance of winning the 2026 IA-01 House race (Kalshi 82%, Polymarket 85%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 IA-01 House race	84%	82%	85%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $7.1M
Spent: $1.7M
Cash on hand: $5.4M
Outside groups for: $730K
Outside groups against: $445K

Through June 30, 2026. $5.6M from individuals, $492K from PACs, $7K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Christina Bohannan →

Polls

In the 2026 IA-01 House race, the Parlay polling average has Christina Bohannan at 40% against Mariannette Miller-Meeks at 35%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-07-16).

Running against

Mariannette Miller-Meeks16%
Michael Bridgford1%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.