Republican · IA

Mariannette Miller-Meeks

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Mariannette Miller-Meeks (Republican) a 16% chance of winning the 2026 IA-01 House race (Kalshi 16%, Polymarket 15%).

Odds in every market

MarketChanceKalshiPolymarket24h
2026 IA-01 House race16%16%15%▲ 2¢

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised
$7.2M
Spent
$2.9M
Cash on hand
$4.7M
Outside groups for
$552K
Outside groups against
$3.6M

Through June 30, 2026. $2.9M from individuals, $2.4M from PACs. FEC filings for Mariannette Jane Miller-Meeks →

Polls

In the 2026 IA-01 House race, the Parlay polling average has Mariannette Miller-Meeks at 35% against Christina Bohannan at 40%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-07-16).

Running against

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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