Republican · FL
Dan Green
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Dan Green (Republican) a 71% chance of winning the 2026 FL-09 House race (Kalshi 72%, Polymarket 70%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 FL-09 House race | 71% | 72% | 70% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $1.3M
- Spent
- $935K
- Cash on hand
- $363K
- Outside groups for
- $158K
- Outside groups against
- $37K
Through July 29, 2026. $140K from individuals, $19K from PACs, $1.1M of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Dan Green →
Polls
In the 2026 FL-09 House race, the Parlay polling average has Dan Green at 41% against Darren Soto at 41%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-08-30).
Social buzz
61K interactions with posts about Dan Green in the last 24 hours from 33 people; 71% of posts read as positive, down 83% on last week.
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Recent headlines
- Green Party in UK declares ‘Zionism is racism’ — and backs wiping out Israel New York Post · Oct 4
Running against
- Darren Soto29%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
