independent · NE
Dan Osborn
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Dan Osborn (independent) a 28% chance of winning the 2026 Nebraska Senate race (Kalshi 28%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Nebraska Senate race | 28% | 28% | — | ▲ 2¢ |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $5.8M
- Spent
- $3.4M
- Cash on hand
- $2.4M
- Outside groups for
- $2.5M
- Outside groups against
- $6.8M
Through September 30, 2026. $5.5M from individuals, $140K from PACs. FEC filings for Dan Osborn →
Social buzz
188K interactions with posts about Dan Osborn in the last 24 hours from 107 people; 75% of posts read as positive, down 76% on last week.
- 2026 Dem Senate recruits tier list ELECTABILITY ONLY: S Tier: Adam Hamilton, Roy Cooper, Mary Peltola A Tier: James Talarico, Sherrod Brown, Josh Turek, Dan Osborn B Tier: Annie Andrews, Angie Nixon C Tier: Abdul El-Saye David · tweet
- Nebraska Senate candidate Dan Osborn is facing questions over his campaign spending after finance records show more than $500,000 was paid to members of his family. Osborn recently said his family was “treading water” du One America News · tweet
- Independent Nebraska Senate candidate Dan Osborn says his family is “treading water” financially amid rising grocery and gas prices. But federal campaign records reviewed by Fox News show his campaign has paid more than NewsForce · tweet
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
