What are Daniel Butierez's chances of winning the 2026 AZ-07 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Daniel Butierez a 1% chance (Polymarket 1%).

How much money has Daniel Butierez raised?

Daniel Butierez's campaign has raised $224K and has $11K cash on hand, through July 1, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · AZ

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Daniel Butierez (Republican) a 1% chance of winning the 2026 AZ-07 House race (Polymarket 1%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 AZ-07 House race	1%	—	1%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through July 1, 2026. $40K from individuals, $2K from PACs, $175K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Daniel Butierez →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.