What are Dave Wallace's chances of winning the 2026 MD-02 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Dave Wallace a 3% chance (Kalshi 2%, Polymarket 5%).

How much money has Dave Wallace raised?

Dave Wallace's campaign has raised $20K and has $3K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · MD

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Dave Wallace (Republican) a 3% chance of winning the 2026 MD-02 House race (Kalshi 2%, Polymarket 5%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 MD-02 House race	3%	2%	5%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through June 30, 2026. $19K from individuals, $0 from PACs, $1K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for David Drain Wallace Ii →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.