What are Johnny Olszewski's chances of winning the 2026 MD-02 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Johnny Olszewski a 97% chance (Kalshi 98%, Polymarket 95%).

How much money has Johnny Olszewski raised?

Johnny Olszewski's campaign has raised $1.0M and has $614K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · MD

Johnny Olszewski

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Johnny Olszewski (Democrat) a 97% chance of winning the 2026 MD-02 House race (Kalshi 98%, Polymarket 95%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 MD-02 House race	97%	98%	95%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $1.0M
Spent: $593K
Cash on hand: $614K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $698K from individuals, $334K from PACs. FEC filings for John Anthony Olszewski Jr. →

Running against

Dave Wallace3%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.