What are Deborah Adeimy's chances of winning the 2026 FL-23 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Deborah Adeimy a 4% chance (Kalshi 5%, Polymarket 3%).

How much money has Deborah Adeimy raised?

Deborah Adeimy's campaign has raised $163K and has $34K cash on hand, through July 29, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · FL

Deborah Adeimy

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Deborah Adeimy (Republican) a 4% chance of winning the 2026 FL-23 House race (Kalshi 5%, Polymarket 3%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 FL-23 House race	4%	5%	3%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $163K
Spent: $132K
Cash on hand: $34K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through July 29, 2026. $74K from individuals, $0 from PACs, $87K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Deborah Adeimy →

Running against

Lois Frankel96%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.