What are Don Beyer's chances of winning the 2026 VA-08 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Don Beyer a 98% chance (Kalshi 99%, Polymarket 98%).

How much money has Don Beyer raised?

Don Beyer's campaign has raised $2.1M and has $839K cash on hand, through July 15, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · VA

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Don Beyer (Democrat) a 98% chance of winning the 2026 VA-08 House race (Kalshi 99%, Polymarket 98%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 VA-08 House race	98%	99%	98%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through July 15, 2026. $1.5M from individuals, $573K from PACs. FEC filings for Donald Sternoff Beyer Jr. →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.