What are Tony Sabio's chances of winning the 2026 VA-08 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Tony Sabio a 2% chance (Kalshi 1%, Polymarket 2%).

How much money has Tony Sabio raised?

Tony Sabio's campaign has raised $22K and has $18K cash on hand, through July 15, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · VA

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Tony Sabio (Republican) a 2% chance of winning the 2026 VA-08 House race (Kalshi 1%, Polymarket 2%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 VA-08 House race	2%	1%	2%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through July 15, 2026. $12K from individuals, $1K from PACs, $4K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Tony Sabio →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.