What are Doug Ollivant's chances of winning the 2026 VA-07 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Doug Ollivant a 4% chance (Kalshi 5%, Polymarket 4%).

How much money has Doug Ollivant raised?

Doug Ollivant's campaign has raised $251K and has $66K cash on hand, through July 15, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · VA

Doug Ollivant

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Doug Ollivant (Republican) a 4% chance of winning the 2026 VA-07 House race (Kalshi 5%, Polymarket 4%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 VA-07 House race	4%	5%	4%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $251K
Spent: $185K
Cash on hand: $66K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through July 15, 2026. $244K from individuals, $7K from PACs. FEC filings for Douglas Ollivant →

Running against

Eugene Vindman96%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.