What are Eugene Vindman's chances of winning the 2026 VA-07 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Eugene Vindman a 96% chance (Kalshi 95%, Polymarket 96%).

How much money has Eugene Vindman raised?

Eugene Vindman's campaign has raised $12.4M and has $6.6M cash on hand, through July 15, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · VA

Eugene Vindman

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Eugene Vindman (Democrat) a 96% chance of winning the 2026 VA-07 House race (Kalshi 95%, Polymarket 96%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 VA-07 House race	96%	95%	96%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $12.4M
Spent: $5.9M
Cash on hand: $6.6M
Outside groups for: $261K
Outside groups against: $48K

Through July 15, 2026. $11.2M from individuals, $818K from PACs. FEC filings for Yevgeny 'Eugene' Vindman →

Running against

Doug Ollivant4%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.