Democrat · MA
Ed Markey
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Ed Markey (Democrat) a 98% chance of winning the 2026 Massachusetts Senate race (Kalshi 99%, Polymarket 98%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Massachusetts Senate race | 98% | 99% | 98% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $5.4M
- Spent
- $5.8M
- Cash on hand
- $1.3M
- Outside groups for
- $43K
- Outside groups against
- $3.3M
Through August 12, 2026. $2.4M from individuals, $589K from PACs. FEC filings for Edward Sen. Markey →
Polls
In the 2026 Massachusetts Senate race, the Parlay polling average has Ed Markey at 53% against John Deaton at 29%, from 3 polls (newest ended 2026-09-22).
Social buzz
21K interactions with posts about Ed Markey in the last 24 hours from 56 people; 38% of posts read as positive, down 41% on last week.
- Just 30 days after calling for a ban on stock trading by members of Congress, Ed Markey followed the instructions of the Democrat leadership and voted AGAINST the bill that would ban stock trading by members of Congress. MetaLawMan · tweet
- Sen. Ed Markey (D-Mass.) introduced a bill to create a federal Cybersecurity and AI Board of Investigations, with subpoena power, to review cyberattacks carried out by AI agents. Resistbot · tweet
- STATEMENT ON LAW OFFICE VANDALISM & ED MARKEY’S RECKLESS POLITICS AND COWARDICE Following a violent attack today at my East Providence law office; where a window was shattered while my employee was inside; I am holding E John Deaton · tweet
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
