What are Edgardo Baez's chances of winning the 2026 TX-20 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Edgardo Baez a 4% chance (Kalshi 4%, Polymarket 4%).

How much money has Edgardo Baez raised?

Edgardo Baez's campaign has raised $49K and has $21K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · TX

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Edgardo Baez (Republican) a 4% chance of winning the 2026 TX-20 House race (Kalshi 4%, Polymarket 4%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 TX-20 House race	4%	4%	4%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through June 30, 2026. $16K from individuals, $500 from PACs, $32K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Edgardo Rafael Baez →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.