What are Eliott Rodriguez's chances of winning the 2026 FL-27 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Eliott Rodriguez a 38% chance (Kalshi 38%, Polymarket 38%).

How much money has Eliott Rodriguez raised?

Eliott Rodriguez's campaign has raised $661K and has $325K cash on hand, through July 29, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · FL

Eliott Rodriguez

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Eliott Rodriguez (Democrat) a 38% chance of winning the 2026 FL-27 House race (Kalshi 38%, Polymarket 38%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 FL-27 House race	38%	38%	38%	▲ 1¢

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $661K
Spent: $336K
Cash on hand: $325K
Outside groups for: $33K
Outside groups against: $160K

Through July 29, 2026. $654K from individuals, $0 from PACs, $7K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Eliott Rodriguez →

Polls

In the 2026 FL-27 House race, the Parlay polling average has Eliott Rodriguez at 46% against Maria Elvira Salazar at 46%, from 2 polls (newest ended 2026-09-13).

Social buzz

62K interactions with posts about Eliott Rodriguez in the last 24 hours from 32 people; 74% of posts read as positive, up 27% on last week.

Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.

Running against

Maria Elvira Salazar62%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.