Republican · FL
Maria Elvira Salazar
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Maria Elvira Salazar (Republican) a 62% chance of winning the 2026 FL-27 House race (Kalshi 62%, Polymarket 62%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 FL-27 House race | 62% | 62% | 62% | ▲ 3¢ |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $2.0M
- Spent
- $1.2M
- Cash on hand
- $2.3M
- Outside groups for
- $0
- Outside groups against
- $10K
Through July 29, 2026. $550K from individuals, $533K from PACs, $2K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Maria Elvira Salazar →
Polls
In the 2026 FL-27 House race, the Parlay polling average has Maria Elvira Salazar at 46% against Eliott Rodriguez at 46%, from 2 polls (newest ended 2026-09-13).
Social buzz
376K interactions with posts about Maria Elvira Salazar in the last 24 hours from 177 people; 52% of posts read as positive, down 27% on last week.
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
