Democrat · MO
Emanuel Cleaver
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Emanuel Cleaver (Democrat) a 96% chance of winning the 2026 MO-05 House race (Polymarket 96%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 MO-05 House race | 96% | — | 96% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $1.3M
- Spent
- $1.1M
- Cash on hand
- $1.1M
- Outside groups for
- $0
- Outside groups against
- $0
Through July 15, 2026. $487K from individuals, $850K from PACs. FEC filings for Emanuel Cleaver Ii →
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
